Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 66.424043 75.112878 84.041925 93.871231 104.356152 115.175961 127.155435
2025-03-30 54.019191 66.525649 79.992452 95.438805 112.539237 130.775233 151.577994
2025-04-06 45.304936 59.711953 75.794976 94.806243 116.408493 139.960415 167.354081
2025-04-13 37.695831 53.107696 70.916584 92.557219 117.719718 145.678489 178.729821
2025-04-20 34.558226 51.313955 71.197373 95.859376 125.014776 157.845442 197.092853
2025-04-27 31.356721 49.056244 70.610622 97.867827 130.587959 167.880024 212.907128
2025-05-04 27.426659 45.477473 68.089211 97.274557 132.866564 173.930535 224.007163
2025-05-11 23.891788 42.068957 65.497552 96.348039 134.541610 179.114534 233.971508
2025-05-18 21.469927 39.931941 64.340347 97.041745 138.045976 186.357223 246.265309
2025-05-25 18.874097 37.301167 62.344560 96.513486 139.924860 191.569944 256.099352
2025-06-01 16.884692 35.357908 61.117732 96.848518 142.776912 197.881168 267.185687
2025-06-08 14.650595 32.822478 58.915023 95.773235 143.753746 201.843619 275.411649
2025-06-15 13.399631 31.731569 58.679648 97.291621 148.044240 209.912315 288.673361
2025-06-22 12.335914 30.842162 58.666196 99.067348 152.647688 218.371625 302.435517
2025-06-29 10.716643 28.842323 56.919676 98.394098 154.023425 222.796336 311.275237
2025-07-06 8.879423 26.224992 54.091999 96.098372 153.183345 224.388324 316.602798
2025-07-13 8.544734 26.321040 55.343509 99.474215 159.778895 235.281393 333.329878
2025-07-20 7.944297 25.844057 55.673366 101.527438 164.617553 243.970657 347.365618
2025-07-27 6.850810 24.257967 54.180026 100.920995 165.874356 248.112304 355.781154
2025-08-03 5.812382 22.623851 52.505622 99.973864 166.615597 251.559250 363.309447
2025-08-10 5.170424 21.745706 51.999305 100.683012 169.562324 257.800919 374.304624
2025-08-17 4.393987 20.429199 50.684830 100.142997 170.770214 261.790045 382.477476
2025-08-24 3.829885 19.516101 49.992180 100.485488 173.157037 267.279855 392.522462